Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — ...
FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which complies the results of national and statewide polls and weights them according ...
Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we ...
We get it — looking at the polls is kind of our thing here at 538. But all that obsession over tiny shifts can get pretty exhausting, so today we decided to leave the horse race behind (just for ...
If you go by betting odds, Trump is going to get a second opportunity to Make America Great Again. According to realclearpolling, Republican candidate Trump has a 59 percent chance of winning the ...
National polls indicate a tight presidential race on Election Day. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won?
How can two polls say two different things? And can you even trust polls, anyway? Here at 538, we cover polls year-round, so we'd like to share with you some tips we've learned over the years ...
With the same available data, FiveThirtyEight, which weighs polls for quality and partisan bias, shows Harris leading nationally by 1.7 percent (48.2 to 46.4 percent). Nate Silver, with his own ...
That's why we do things like publish ratings of pollster accuracy and transparency and make complex election forecasting ...