Discover how biased expectations theory impacts interest rates by incorporating investor preferences and risks, beyond just future rate predictions.

In a blog post published on January 16, economists Benjamin Böninghausen and Andreea Liliana Vladu look to disaggregate the ...

There’s nothing I’d rather do to celebrate my 47th birthday than write about the yield curve. 🙂 While the Fed’s rate moves—cuts or hikes—often explain the curve’s shifts, the yield curve itself has ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I write about investment strategies to build generational wealth. A quietly steepening European yield curve signals opportunity ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...